ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR THE MOST IMPORTANT ENVIRONMENTAL AND ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF SOME NON-TRADITIONAL EGYPTIAN VEGETABLE EXPORTS

Document Type : Review Article

Authors

1 Postgraduate student, Faculty of Graduate Studies and Environmental Research, Ain Shams University

2 Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

3 Horticulture depatment , Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

4 Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Environmental Studies and Research, Ain Shams University

Abstract

Foreign trade is considered one of the most important components of the economic system in all countries of the world and is therefore considered one of the concerns of decision makers in the country. Working to increase and stimulate exports is considered one of the most important goals pursued by developed and developing countries alike. The issue of export has occupied the thoughts and attention of decision-makers within the country since the beginning of the eighties until now, as export represents the most important pillar of the sustainable development strategy, in light of which it was sought to create the appropriate climate to meet the requirements of foreign trade liberalization and what it requires of raising the productive efficiency of exported products. In light of this, the research problem was how to select the most important environmental and economic determinants affecting the exported quantities of promising non-traditional Egyptian export vegetable crops such as cauliflower and peas, as published statistics showed an increase in the quantity of exports of both cauliflower and peas during the period (2001-2021), and then the research aimed Identifying the most important of these determinants through standard estimation and future forecasting using real-time standard models. The research reached the most important environmental and economic determinants for these two crops, in light of which the research recommended the necessity of expanding both crops.

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